Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.077911 0.090422 0.104107 0.120163 0.138458 0.158627 0.182519
2025-01-12 0.056479 0.072385 0.091373 0.115607 0.145600 0.181382 0.227169
2025-01-19 0.043168 0.060438 0.082707 0.113288 0.153919 0.205738 0.276467
2025-01-26 0.036591 0.055353 0.081221 0.119051 0.172428 0.244416 0.348072
2025-02-02 0.031504 0.051116 0.079832 0.124244 0.190309 0.283854 0.424906
2025-02-09 0.025377 0.044063 0.073054 0.120340 0.194276 0.303832 0.476240
2025-02-16 0.021248 0.039273 0.068760 0.119234 0.201769 0.329123 0.537264
2025-02-23 0.017598 0.034548 0.063717 0.115991 0.205152 0.348038 0.589908
2025-03-02 0.014799 0.030765 0.059591 0.113518 0.209174 0.367920 0.645435
2025-03-09 0.013024 0.028538 0.057799 0.114714 0.219295 0.398360 0.720489
2025-03-16 0.010978 0.025386 0.053798 0.111283 0.220720 0.414030 0.771814
2025-03-23 0.010178 0.024644 0.054271 0.116236 0.237759 0.458065 0.875546
2025-03-30 0.009051 0.023030 0.052847 0.117460 0.248226 0.491874 0.965169
2025-04-06 0.007721 0.020703 0.049599 0.114571 0.250424 0.510798 1.029596
2025-04-13 0.006701 0.018899 0.047183 0.113061 0.255132 0.534766 1.105381
2025-04-20 0.006349 0.018682 0.048272 0.119234 0.276219 0.592025 1.249134
2025-04-27 0.005973 0.018330 0.048991 0.124656 0.296257 0.648862 1.396500
2025-05-04 0.005112 0.016491 0.045868 0.120850 0.295918 0.664639 1.463742
2025-05-11 0.004512 0.015253 0.044028 0.119794 0.301488 0.692910 1.558303
2025-05-18 0.003894 0.013819 0.041447 0.116565 0.301704 0.709844 1.630672
2025-05-25 0.003392 0.012623 0.039295 0.114093 0.303360 0.729894 1.710988
2025-06-01 0.003091 0.012001 0.038611 0.115302 0.313897 0.770168 1.837488
2025-06-08 0.002668 0.010872 0.036297 0.111858 0.312639 0.783920 1.907109